Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-66) wrap up their three-game series against the Miami Marlins (57-79) Sunday, hoping to avoid a series sweep. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Phillies will have a bullpen game with RHP Sam Coonrod (2-2, 3.86 ERA) opening for the first time this season. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP in relief.

  • Only eight of his 31 appearances were for more than 1 inning.
  • In three appearances against the Marlins this season, he is 0-1 with an 3 ER allowed over 3 innings of work. He has given up 5 hits and 2 walks and has struck out 1.

Marlins RHP Elieser Hernandez (1-1, 3.62 ERA) makes his seventh start of the year. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.

  • The Marlins won all three of Hernandez’s home starts this season.
  • He picked up his first win of the season in his last start, allowing 2 runs and 7 hits over 5  innings of a 7-5 Marlins victory over the Washington Nationals.

Phillies at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Marlins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+145) | Marlins +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Marlins 4, Phillies 2

Money line (ML)

The Phillies lost the first two games of the series, which snapped a six-game win streak. They are 30-38 on the road this year.

The Marlins are 36-32 at home and have won four home games in a row, as well as winning six of their last seven. In two home starts in August, Hernandez had an ERA of 2.61.

Take the MARLINS (-105).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Phillies are 64-70 ATS this season and 33-35 ATS on the road. However, they are an abysmal 22-49 ATS when favored. They failed to cover their last three games and are 4-7 ATS over their last 11 games.

The Marlins are 70-65 ATS and are 37-31 ATS at home, the fifth-best home ATS record in the majors. They are 52-43 ATS as underdogs.

I expect an outright win by Miami in this game and the money line bet gives you better value, but if you want a little wiggle room from the spread, take the MARLINS +1.5 (-180).

Over/Under (O/U)

Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games have had totals of at least 8 runs. In four series between the two teams this season, no more than one game per series finished with a total of 8 or more.

They already had one such game this series.

Only three of the Marlins’ last 14 games had a total of 8 or more.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-108).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]