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The Philadelphia Phillies (52-27) and Detroit Tigers (37-42) close out a 3-game interleague series Wednesday. The 1st pitch at Comerica Park is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Tigers lost the opener of this series 8-1, but bounced with a 4-1 win Tuesday when 3 Detroit hurlers combined to allow just 4 hits. The win snapped an 8-game losing streak against Philadelphia.
The Phillies had won 3 straight games before Tuesday’s loss, but overall things have waned a bit after a prolific start to the season. The Phils, who went 29-6 from April 15-May 23, are 6-7 since June 12.
Phillies at Tigers projected starters
RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. TBD
Turnbull (3-0, 2.63 ERA) makes his 7th start and 17th appearance. He has logged a 1.05 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 51 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 5-4 loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
- Has never faced the Tigers, who he pitched for from 2018-23
- Rejoining the Philadelphia starting rotation after serving as a reliever since May 1; is recovering from Tommy John surgery and was moved to the bullpen as a way of curtailing workload
The Tigers went into Wednesday unsure as to how they planned to parse out innings in this series finale. Rookie RHP Keider Montero figures to be recalled from Triple-A Toledo to serve as either a starter or a bulk reliever after the use of an opener. Montero has made 1 MLB start (4 1/3 IP on May 29).
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Phillies -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Tigers +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Tigers +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Phillies at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Tigers 4
Moneyline
Lots of juice here and its drowning out any potential value on either side. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Detroit is 15-25 against the RL at home. Overall, the Tigers are just 6-12 across their last 18 games. In their last 11 games, the Detroit offense has been held to 2 runs or less 8 times.
Turnbull has been fortunate to pitch alongside a .242 batting average on balls in play, so his surface ERA is suspect. But the Turnbull-and-Philly-bullpen combo figures to be an advantage over what’s cooking in the top of each inning. The back of the Phillies bullpen is well-rested and should be able to help propel the visitors to a win with a cushion.
Philadelphia has won 9 games since June 5; 8 of those have been by multiple runs.
The confidence level gets dented by some pitching unknowns. Consider a partial-unit play on the PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Over has gone 5-2 in Philadelphia’s last 7 road tilts, and its 10-4 across Detroit’s last 14 at home.
Both offenses have been hampered by low-BABIP figures when leading off innings. Some regression in that department should especially impact games against 2nd-division pitching. And that’s whey they’ll likely see in the front innings of this game.
BACK THE OVER 9 (-115).
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