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The Baltimore Orioles (46-24) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (47-23) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the finale of their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Phillies opened the series with a 5-3 win Friday, but lost the 2nd game 6-2 Saturday as Orioles RF Anthony Santander was the star of the show, ending the game with 2 HRs and 4 RBIs.
Philadelphia has lost 3 of its last 4 games and has failed to cover in each loss. The Phillies are still 9-5 straight up (SU) over their last 14 games, and have been a strong road side with a 20-13 away record. Philadelphia is 39-31 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Orioles are 7-2 over their last 9 games and have covered in each victory. They are the 2nd-best covering team in the MLB with a 32-27 ATS record. Baltimore has also been among the best at home with a 24-14 record at Oriole Park.
Phillies at Orioles projected starters
RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Wheeler (8-3, 2.16 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 87 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-1 road win over the Boston Red Sox Tuesday
- 2024 road splits: 3-1, 2.83 ERA (35 IP, 11 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 3 HR, 8.7 K/9 in 6 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.90 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 4 starts
Burnes (7-2, 2.08 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 86 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-2 road win over Tampa Bay Rays Monday
- 2024 home splits: 3-1, 1.70 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 4 HR, 9.3 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Phillies: 1-1, 0.55 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Orioles -1.5 (+172)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Phillies at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Orioles 2
Moneyline
BET PHILLIES (+110).
The Phillies have been the best team in the MLB following a loss. They are 17-5 on the season and will have their ace on the mound Sunday. The Phillies have won 6 of Wheeler’s last 8 starts, and he has allowed more than 2 ER in 3 of 14 starts.
Philadelphia is 7-5 SU as an underdog. While the Orioles have been strong at home on the season, they have lost 2 of their last 3 and have tallied 3 or fewer runs in 2 of those 3 as well.
Expect a bounce-back game for Philadelphia and take PHILLIES (+110).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s just no great value here, and the play for either side should be on the moneyline. The Orioles are too risky as a run-line favorite while the Phillies are far too expensive as a run-line underdog.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7 (-110).
The Orioles are 2-3-3 O/U in their last 8 games and have allowed a total of 4 runs in Burnes’ last 3 starts.
The Phillies are 3-7-1 O/U in their last 11 games and have gone Under in 5 straight games in which Wheeler has started. They have allowed a combined 7 runs in those.
Both teams have their aces on the mound, so expect strong pitching performances. Back UNDER 7 (-110).
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