Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) and Arizona Diamondbacks (41-27) meet Thursday in the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch at Chase Field is slated for 3:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

The Phillies rallied for back-to-back wins Wednesday (4-3, 10 innings) and Tuesday (15-3) after they dropped Monday’s series opener 9-8. After going 2-10 over a dozen road games from May 12-June 2, the Phils have gone 4-1 in their last 5 away from home.

Arizona had won 6 straight games while slashing a .316/.388/.517 (.905 OPS) prior to Tuesday’s loss. The Snakes have homered in 10 straight games; they own an .840 OPS over that span.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Nola (5-5, 4.60 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has registered a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 88 IP.

  • Has struggled away from home, posting a 5.14 ERA with a 7.3 K/9 in 49 IP on the road
  • Allowed 6 runs in his last start and owns a 5.33 ERA over his last 4 turns
  • Current Arizona batters own an aggregate .976 OPS against him

Nelson (3-3, 4.95 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has notched a 1.46 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP.

  • Pitched 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his last outing and has authored a 3.04 ERA over his last 5 starts
  • Has not fared well at home where he has 6.62 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 35 1/3 IP

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+126) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -104 | U: -118)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

Arizona has overplayed its scoring profile and benefited from an easier-than-average schedule. The result is a club too far out over its skis in its record.

Philadelphia’s overall numbers swing a bit the other way, and we should expect better days for the Phils. Mix in a pitching match-up that likely has Nola undervalued as he’s been hurt by a low left-on-base rate (62.5%) and a high percentage of fly balls leaving the yard (13.6%).

BACK PHILADELPHIA (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

Four of 6 meetings between these clubs this season have been decided by 1 run. PASS on sneaking the visitors by with a cushion.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

The Under has a lean but also has an expensive price tag. AVOID.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]