The Philadelphia 76ers (37-25) head over to Sactown on Thursday to play the Sacramento Kings (27-34) in the Golden 1 Center at 10 p.m. ET. We analyze the 76ers-Kings odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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76ers at Kings: Key injuries
76ers
- SG Josh Richardson (concussion) out
- PG Ben Simmons (back) out
- C Joel Embiid (shoulder) out
Kings
- PG Cory Joseph (heel) probable
- PG De’Aaron Fox (abdominal) probable
- PF Richaun Holmes (shoulder) out
- PF Marvin Bagley III (foot) out
76ers at Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Kings 120, Sixers 108
Moneyline (ML)
The 76ers (+170) enter the third game of their four-game west coast road trip against the Kings (-209) losing back-to-back games against the Los Angeles Clippers, 136-130, Sunday and the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-107, Tuesday. Sacramento comes in on a three-game winning streak, and winning six of its last seven games, including a 133-126 victory over the Washington Wizards on March 3. This is going to be the fourth straight game without franchise stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. Their only win was at home against the New York Knicks, 115-106, Feb. 27.
Since the Kings are one of the five teams trying to run down the Memphis Grizzlies for the eighth and final spot in the Western Conference playoffs, this game is pivotal and there is no way they should snooze on a Philadelphia team down three starters. Sacramento should keep their momentum going and get an easy W over the injury-depleted 76ers. AVOID the moneyline because Kings (-209) is too chalky, and the 76ers (+170) isn’t a good enough payout.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
HAMMER THE KINGS -5.5 (-110) because of how bad the 76ers are on the road and their defensive freefall without Simmons and Embiid in the lineup. In the three games without their stars, Philadelphia is ranked 26th in opponents’ points per game and three-point percentage, and last in opponents’ field goal percentage and opponents’ points in the paint.
Philadelphia is the worst road team, and road underdog, against the spread in the NBA. They are 8-22-2 ATS on the road and 4-11-1 ATS when they are an away dog. Also, the 76ers have the second-worst ATS record when playing on equal rest at 10-17-3.
Over/Under (O/U)
I slightly LEAN OVER 218.5. I described Philadelphia’s defensive struggles since Simmons and Embiid went down, but the Kings have been scoring more since the All-Star Break. Sacramento has increased their points per game from 107.9 to 114.9 per since the break. Furthermore, the combined Over/Under record of the officiating crew assigned to this game is 74-46.
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