[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Miami Heat (42-33) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (41-35) to the Kaseya Center Thursday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 2-1
The Heat are riding a 3-game win streak, coming off a 109-99 home win over the New York Knicks Tuesday and closing as a 2.5-point home favorite. They are 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 and 36-37-2 ATS on the season. Miami is led by F Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21 points per game.
The 76ers have won 2 straight, beating the Oklahoma City Thunder 109-105 on Tuesday as a 2.5-point home favorite. C Joel Embiid returned from a knee injury and has 24 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists. The 76ers have lost 3 of their last 5 yet are 4-1 ATS in that stretch. Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 and 42-33-1 ATS on the season. All 3 of Philadelphia’s top scorers are listed as questionable for Thursday.
76ers at Heat odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:08 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): 76ers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Heat -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +2.5 (-108) | Heat -2.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
76ers at Heat key injuries
76ers
- F Robert Covington (knee) out
- C Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
- F Tobias Harris (knee) questionable
- G Tyrese Maxey (hip) questionable
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (foot) out
- G Duncan Robinson (facet) available
- G Terry Rozier (knee) available
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
76ers at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 108, 76ers 104
Moneyline
PASS.
The Heat (-142) are the play here and are the hotter and more in-sync team; however, the value is on the spread, not the moneyline. Given the Philadelphia (+120) injury situation, now is not the time to back it as an underdog.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -2.5 (-112).
The Heat have won 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5, taking down the Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks at home in the last week and a half. They are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 games as a favorite of 0-5 points. Miami has the defense in C Bam Adebayo to limit one of the best scorers in the game in Embiid, who played Tuesday and should be active.
The 76ers have lost 3 of their last 5 and 5 of their last 8, but with their stars returning from injury, the spreads are starting to get narrower, having been an underdog of 6 or more in 6 of those 8. The Heat should have more need to win this game and are the healthier side.
Take HEAT -2.5 (-112).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 210.5 (-108).
The 76ers have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games, scoring at least 109 points in 3 straight and at least 107 in 4 straight. They have allowed at least 107 in 5 of their last 6.
The Heat have gone Over in 3 straight, scoring at least 109 in each, and have gone Over in 5 of their last 7. With Robinson and Rozier both expected to play, the offensive firepower and shooting should be there as well.
Back OVER 210.5 (-108).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Spurs Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]