The No. 14 West Virginia Mountaineers (14-5, 7-3 Big 12) host the No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (12-5, 7-4) Saturday at WVU Coliseum for a 1 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma-West Virginia college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Oklahoma at West Virginia: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Oklahoma +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | West Virginia -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma +3.5 (-110) | West Virginia -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Oklahoma at West Virginia: Three things to know
- Oklahoma has been on a roll since losing back-to-back games to Kansas and Baylor in early January. The Sooners have won six of their last seven games and are 6-1 ATS in that window with their only loss coming against then-No. 11 Texas Tech by a 57-52 count as 7.5-point road underdogs. Over those seven games, Oklahoma is holding opponents to 38.9% field-goal shooting and a negative assist-to-turnover ratio.
- West Virginia is 5-1 in its last six games (4-2 ATS) with impressive wins over No. 8 Texas Tech, then-No. 22 Kansas and then-No. 23 Florida. The Mountaineers have been on fire from deep lately, connecting on 43.8% of 3-pointers over their last six games.
- The Sooners have beaten the Mountaineers in three straight and four of their last five head-to-head meetings, which includes a 75-71 win in early January.
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Oklahoma at West Virginia: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Oklahoma 71, West Virginia 65
Money line (ML)
There’s a lot of talk about West Virginia being a different team since Oklahoma beat the Mountaineers back in January but I don’t have confidence West Virginia has done enough to its game plan to make this a good matchup.
The Mountaineers are the 46th-best 3-point shooting team and the Sooners have the 310th-ranked 3-point defense but West Virginia is 296th in 3-point rate. If the Mountaineers aren’t attempting a high volume of threes, then they are unlikely to beat an Oklahoma team that’s playing great right now.
I only lean OKLAHOMA (+145) because the Sooners plus the points is a much better wager.
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Against the spread (ATS)
TAKE OKLAHOMA +3.5 (-110) for 1 unit. West Virginia likes to pound the ball inside and Oklahoma is 17th in opponent’s field-goal percentage on 2-point attempts.
A big reason for Oklahoma’s recent success against West Virginia is the Mountaineers’ second-leading scorer and leading rebounder, F Derek Culver, averages just 6.5 points and 8.8 rebounds per game in his career vs. Oklahoma.
The bottom line is the Sooners match up well against the Mountaineers and do a good job defending what West Virginia wants to do.
Over/Under (O/U)
Since I’m keying in on Oklahoma’s defense for my above handicaps, I lean UNDER 146.5 (-110) for a half-unit. According to Pregame.com, nearly 85% of the money is on the Under and I’d like to fade a market this lopsided when possible.
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