Ohio State at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Ohio State at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 16 Ohio State Buckeyes (13-4, 6-2 Big Ten) visit Mackey Arena to take on the No. 6 Purdue Boilermakers (17-3, 6-3) Sunday at noon ET (on CBS). Below, we look at the Ohio State vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Buckeyes have won 3 in a row, have covered the spread in back-to-back games and are 8-9 against the spread (ATS) for the season. They are led by star F E.J. Liddell, who averages 19.6 points per game (PPG).

As for the Boilermakers, they’ll be at home where they’re 10-1 this season. The lone loss was against Wisconsin Jan. 3. They have covered 4 of their last 5 games, yet only 5 of their last 10. They are led by G Jaden Ivey, who averages 16.6 PPG.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Ohio State at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Ohio State +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Purdue -540 (bet $540 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State +9.5 (-108) | Purdue -9.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Ohio State at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 78, Ohio State 74

Money line

PASS. Banking on a home upset of a Top-25 team is risky business.

While Ohio State’s +380 price offers some value based on how well it has played this season, I’d prefer the points for the best wager in this Big Ten battle, especially as Purdue has just one home loss on the season.

Against the spread

LEAN to OHIO STATE +9.5 (-108).

For a Big Ten battle between two quality teams, an almost double-figure spread is far too much. The Buckeyes have taken down teams like Duke, Wisconsin and Penn State.

Ohio State ranks No. 39 in 3-point efficiency, while Purdue struggles to limit teams from deep, allowing them to shoot 32.8% to rank 160th in the nation.

Similarly, Purdue’s offense is elite, averaging 50.6% from the field and 40.9% from 3, but Ohio State is holding opponents to just 40.8% from the field.

The Buckeyes should be able to play to the Boilermakers’ weakness, which should at least make this game competitive.

Over/Under

BET OVER 147.5 (-107).

This is my favorite play of the game as Purdue’s offense is no joke.

It ranks fourth in points per game, third in field-goal percentage and fourth in 3-point percentage in the nation. The Boilermakers have notched or topped 80 points in 4 of their last 5 games. They’re 12-8 O/U this season.

The Buckeyes are 11-6 O/U. They’ve scored 75 or more in 3 of their last 5 and are averaging 75.1 PPG. A Top-25 team in terms of field-goal rate, if this is a high-paced game, which it’s expected to be, the shooting should bode well for them to score more.

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