The No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (27-6) will take to the court against the No. 8 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (25-9) on Saturday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. Baylor is a 5.5-point favorite to take a step forward in the bracket, which begins at 12:10 PM.
Baylor has a 17-15-1 record against the spread this season compared to North Carolina, who is 18-16-1 ATS. The Bears have an 18-15-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Tar Heels have a record of 20-15-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 154.8 points per game, 5.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Baylor is 5-5-0 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 games, while North Carolina has gone 7-3-0 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
As college hoops matchups continue, prepare for the contest with everything you need to know ahead of Saturday’s game.
North Carolina at Baylor odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Baylor -5.5
- Total: 149.5
- Moneyline: Baylor -239, North Carolina +193
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North Carolina at Baylor odds, spread, & more
Moneyline
- The Bears have won 87.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (27-4).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -239 or shorter, Baylor has a 21-3 record (winning 87.5% of its games).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Bears’ implied win probability is 70.5%.
- This season, the Tar Heels have won three out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog.
- North Carolina is 1-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +193 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 34.1% chance of a victory for the Tar Heels.
Against the spread
- The Bears put up 76.8 points per game, 5.3 more points than the 71.5 the Tar Heels allow.
- When Baylor totals more than 71.5 points, it is 13-9-1 against the spread and 21-2 overall.
- North Carolina is 11-6 against the spread and 16-1 overall when giving up fewer than 76.8 points.
- The Tar Heels score 14.8 more points per game (78) than the Bears allow (63.2).
- When it scores more than 63.2 points, North Carolina is 15-12-1 against the spread and 22-7 overall.
- Baylor is 16-11-1 against the spread and 26-2 overall when it allows fewer than 78 points.
- The Bears have totaled 448 more points than their opponents this season (13.6 per game on average), and the Tar Heels have scored 223 more points than their opponents (6.5 per game).
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Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Bears this season is 75.9 points, 2.1 fewer points than their implied total of 78 points in Saturday’s game.
- This season, Baylor has scored more than 78 points in a game 14 times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Tar Heels (77.9) is 5.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (72).
- On the season, North Carolina has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (72) 24 times.
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How to watch Baylor vs. North Carolina
- Game Day: Saturday, March 19, 2022
- Game Time: 12:10 PM ET
- Live Stream: Hulu
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