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The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in Game 2 of a best-of-3 NL Wild Card Series. First pitch from American Family Field is at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Playoff series: Mets lead 1-0; Regular-season series: Brewers won 5-1
The Mets took a 1-0 lead in Tuesday’s series opener despite playing a doubleheader Monday. They scored 5 runs in the 5th inning to take an 8-4 lead, and their bullpen pitched 3 scoreless innings to put them 1 win away from the NLDS.
The Brewers had won 2 of 3 home games over the Mets to close out their regular seasons.
Mets at Brewers projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Frankie Montas
Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 regular-season starts. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 181 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER (6 R), 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 8-4 defeat at Brewers Friday, his only start vs. Milwaukee this season
- Mets went 8-1 in his final 9 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 1-2, 5.48 ERA (23 IP, 14 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 5 apperances (4 starts)
- Has 15.26 ERA over 7 2/3 IP in 3 career postseason appearances in 2019, 2020 and 2022
Montas (7-11, 4.84 ERA) made 30 regular-season starts. He had a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 150 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in Friday’s home victory over Mets
- Was 3-3 with 4.55 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 11 starts for Brewers after being acquired from Cincinnati Reds
- Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 5.06 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)
- Has 9.45 ERA over 6 2/3 IP in 3 career postseason appearances in 2020 and 2022
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+165) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Mets 4
Moneyline
Manaea has not been good in the postseason in his career and struggled in his last outing against the BREWERS (-115).
The Brewers are at home facing elimination. We can expect both bullpens to be involved early, and Milwaukee’s pen was better than the Mets’ (3.15 ERA vs. 4.02).
BET BREWERS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
So far, 6 of 7 games between these teams have been decided by more than 1 run. Four of the Brewer’s 5 wins over the Mets have been by 2 or more runs.
You want to avoid the -200 odds for the Brewers to cover as underdogs, but the alternate spread is worth betting a little on with big plus odds.
BET BREWERS ALTERNATE SPREAD -1.5 (+180).
Over/Under
Four of 7 games between these teams have stayed below 8 total runs. In Tuesday’s games, only the Mets and Brewers had more than 4 total runs.
But the Mets have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games and the Brewers have scored 4 or more in 4 of their last 5.
BET OVER 7.5 (-115).
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