Buffalo Bills +7 (-135) over DALLAS COWBOYS
Under 44.5
If the Bills are in a football game, we are taking the under. That’s just how it is. They have a very good defense but their offense can struggle against better opponents.
The Bills bet is strictly because of the matchup. Tre’Davious White isn’t Stephon Gilmore, but he’s mightly close so he can matchup with Amari Cooper. When Cooper is contained the Cowboys passing game struggles. Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb need to step up because Dallas gets nothing from its tight ends. It’s not going to be easy to run the ball against the Bills front.
The question is whether or not the Bills offense can move the ball against the Dallas defense that played well against the Patriots last week. Josh Allen has been up and down all year. The Cowboys would be smart to force Allen into longer throws since he’s struggled with them all year. Is this a Cole Beasley revenge game? I never thought I would type that sentence.
The Cowboys are coming off a crushing loss on a shot week. The Patriots game was extremely physical. It’s not a great situation for them because Buffalo likes to play ugly games and they can put pressure on Dak Prescott with Ed Oliver and company. Prescott is going to have to find a way to win the game.
We are buying the book because Dallas is going to win. The underdog and the under go together like mashed potatoes and gravy — there’s the shameless Thanksgiving food plug. Dallas wins, but by less than a touchdown.