Week 3 of the NFL season gets underway Thursday night with a Sunshine State battle as the 1-1 Jacksonville Jaguars host the 0-2 Miami Dolphins. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at TIAA Bank Field. Here are five player/team prop bets to consider from the BetMGM game menu:
5 NFL prop bets to make for Thursday Night Football
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
Jaguars RB James Robinson OVER 17.5 rushing attempts (-110)
Many outside of 12-team fantasy football leagues don’t know much of anything about Robinson, the Jags’ new starting running back and an undrafted rookie from Illinois State.
Robinson quietly ranks fourth in the league with 164 rushing yards through two games, and more importantly for this prop, has accounted for 32 of Jacksonville’s 34 running back rushing attempts so far. He has logged 16 carries in each game, and that’s despite the Jaguars leading for roughly six out of 120 game minutes this season.
Now, they’re a home field-goal favorite after being touchdown-plus underdogs in each of the first two weeks. Look for J’ville to lean on Robinson against a Miami defense which has surrendered the fourth-most rushing yards in the league so far with 328.
Robinson OVER 67.5 rushing yards (-112)
Simple math directs us to a correlated wager here with Robinson averaging 5.13 yards per rush and the Dolphins allowing an average of 5.05 per carry.
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Jaguars WR Laviska Shenault Jr. to score a TD (+280)
Shenault, the Jags’ versatile Swiss Army Knife of a second-round pick has 13 touches and eight targets through two games with one touchdown.
Among his 13 touches, only six have been receptions as he rushed the ball seven times so far, ranking behind only Chicago Bears WR Cordarrelle Patterson among receivers.
Given that versatility and his speed and size (6-foot-1, 227 pounds), Shenault is an ideal goal-line weapon. He’s also a good value at +280 to find the end zone in what’s projected to be one of the highest-scoring games of the week (48.5-point total).
Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki OVER 45.5 receiving yards (-110)
Gesicki is coming off a big game with eight receptions for 130 yards and a TD on 11 targets in a 31-28 loss to the Buffalo Bills. His catch and yardage totals were both career highs, and he has now had at least 47 receiving yards in four of his last seven games dating back to last season, averaging 58.3 yards per contest over that span.
The Jaguars, meanwhile, have been gashed by tight ends so far. Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts tight ends have combined to catch 13 of 15 targets for 198 yards and a pair of TDs.
Bank on Gesicki continuing the trends Thursday night.
Yes on both teams scoring a first-half touchdown (-139)
There have been points aplenty in the league’s opening two weeks with teams averaging 25.2 points per game and the Over hitting in 20 of 32 contests so far.
With neither defense in this matchup looking particularly formidable, a TD from each team in the opening 30 minutes looks to be a low bar to clear. Pay up and lay the -139.
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Also see:
- The Mustache vs. The Beard: Minshew, Fitzpatrick have a friendly exchange for upcoming battle (Jags Wire)
- Why the Dolphins’ slow start in Year 2 of rebuild shouldn’t scare you (Dolphins Wire)
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