NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 16

Analyzing the Week 16 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

With several playoff-implicating matchups in Week 16, NFL fans should be glued to their seats for nine hours of football Sunday. Below, we look at the NFL Week 16 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Fans were already treated to three games before a 12-game Sunday slate and a Monday matchup.

The Titans took down the 49ers Thursday with the Packers defeating the Browns and the Colts edging the Cardinals Saturday. Now, it’s time to take our attention to what’s yet to come – Sunday’s matchups.

That said, let’s dive into three of the top player props for Week 16.

Week 16 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Patriots QB Mac Jones UNDER 215.5 passing yards (-110)

The Bills need to win this game. They’re coming for revenge as well after the Patriots defeated them in a rain-impacted matchup earlier in the season.

Combine both the needs and what their attitude should be like coming into this one, the chip on the shoulder should help their already top-tier defense. The Bills pass defense gives up the fewest yards per game in the NFL at just over 175.

Jones has only topped this total twice in the past six weeks. He has only topped 30 attempts 4 times since Week 5. He just hasn’t been used quite as often as the Pats offense has shifted towards running the ball more.

Against a stout Bills pass defense, Jones may struggle in Week 16.

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Bengals RB Joe Mixon UNDER 72.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Bengals know how to beat the Ravens, having destroyed them earlier in the season.

Cincinnati beat them because of Ja’Marr Chase’s 201 receiving yards. Without Marlon Humphrey this time around, they should again target a weak Ravens secondary.

Mixon, who was banged up and left last week’s game late, already not 100% entering that matchup, may get limited touches. Also, the Ravens have a top-three run defense.

Combine the two, and Mixon may be used infrequently against one of the best rush defenses in the NFL.

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Jaguars RB James Robinson OVER 78.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Jacksonville Jaguars are under new leadership. This will be their second game without Urban Meyer.

In their first game without Meyer, Robinson ran the ball 18 times for 75 yards. The workload may be back in his favor as that tied his single-game high this season.

Robinson is averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Under Meyer, the Jags were living or dying, typically dying, by Trevor Lawrence.

Taking on the Jets, the league’s third-worst run defense, Robinson should be able to help carry the Jags, a team likely trying to show they were more than just the Urban fiasco. I expect a big day out of him Sunday.

Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines

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