Newcastle vs. Manchester City odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Newcastle vs. Manchester City odds and lines, with EPL picks and predictions.

On Sunday, Manchester City (13 wins, 2 losses, 2 draws) will head to St. James’ Park to take on Newcastle (1-9-7). Kickoff is expected for 9 a.m. ET. Below, we preview the Newcastle vs. Manchester City odds and lines, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Manchester City is coming into this game following a 7-0 midweek beatdown of Leeds United. Newcastle, three spots lower on the table than Leeds, enters as a heavy underdog despite being at home.

Newcastle’s weakness is in their defending as it’s given up 37 goals in 17 matches. It’s lost 3-0 to Chelsea and 3-1 to Liverpool in previous matches against teams in the top three on the table.

City is coming in at relatively full strength despite that M Bernardo Silva and D Kyle Walker are both doubtful. The Citizens have won seven straight EPL matches and sit atop the table.

Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Newcastle +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Manchester City -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Draw +700
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

Manchester City 5, Newcastle 1

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line. Having drawn Southampton earlier in the season and being on the road, betting on City at -650 doesn’t make much sense. However, the other two options make less sense.

However, I think BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE? YES (+120) actually isn’t a bad deal. Newcastle’s top scorer, F Callum Wilson, is expected to play. He has 6 goals on the season.

City has allowed just 9 goals all season which bolsters this value, but they’ll be shorthanded on their backline without Walker and could allow a few extra opportunities.

Newcastle has averaged exactly a goal per game and scored on Liverpool last time out. This bet is really one for Newcastle to score which, at this value, I’d put a small unit on.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET on the OVER 3.5 (+105) as Man City should be able to have its way with Newcastle. All six players that were in the lineup as City put 7 on Leeds should be active again.

City has arguably the best servicing to their forwards in the entire league with Kevin de Bruyne and Jack Grealish in the midfield. Fans should see exactly why the Citizens’ midfield is one of the best in the world Sunday.

It would be shocking to see City not pummel Newcastle. Manchester averages 3.5 goals per game against teams in the relegation zone. With that in mind, bet the Over relatively comfortably.

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