The New York Yankees (15-13) and Texas Rangers (16-11) wrap up their 4-game series Sunday in Arlington. First pitch from Globe Life Field is slated for 2:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-1
New York’s offense has hit the skids. Over their last 9 games, the Yankees have scored 2 runs or less 6 times. With OF Aaron Judge now injured (hip strain, day-to-day), New York’s lineup card scares no one.
Texas has won back-to-back games and is 3-1 in its last 4 games at home. The Rangers, who will visit New York June 23-25, have not won a season series against the Yankees since 2016.
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Yankees at Rangers projected starters
LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Martin Perez
Cortes (3-1, 3.49 ERA) is making his 6th start of the season. He has notched a 1.06 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 28 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 3 ER or less in 17 straight regular-season starts
- Has benefited from a low 6.3% home runs/fly balls mark
Perez (3-1, 2.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP.
- Owns a 2.45 ERA over his last 5 starts against New York
- Had a 5.05 ERA over 134 games from 2017-21; has a 2.85 ERA in 37 games since
- Pitching at home after 4 straight starts on the road
Yankees at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Rangers +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+130) | Rangers +1.5 (-156)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -118 | U: -104)
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Yankees at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Rangers 4
Moneyline
As far as pitchers faced so far this season, New York batters have had one of the tougher schedules in the league. Even current injuries accounted for, look for a rally in the Yankees’ lackluster offensive numbers.
Cortes excels in limiting hard contact. Expect a bounce-back after the last 2 days. TAKE NEW YORK (-122).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. Peg the moneyline as being a better value.
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Over/Under
There is some 4-sector (both starters, both bullpens) fade to the pitching in this game: Surface stats exceeding analytics-based expected numbers.
A Yankee offense that with runners in scoring position has betted .200-or-less in 7 of its last 9 games is dues some forward regression.
BACK THE OVER 8 (-118).
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