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The Detroit Tigers (65-68) and New York Yankees (59-74) meet at Comerica Park Thursday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 3-0
The Yankees are 5-5 over their last 10 games and 29-35 on the road this season. New York won 6-2 Wednesday, its 3rd straight victory, but still sits last in the AL East and is 10 games back of the final AL Wild Card.
The Tigers are one of the worst teams in the MLB at home, posting just a 28-40 record. Detroit is 3-7 over its last 10 games and sits 4th in the AL Central and is 16 games back of an AL Wild Card.
Yankees at Tigers projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Matt Manning
Schmidt (8-8, 4.51 ERA) makes his 27th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 129 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 3-0 road loss vs. Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.25 ERA in 58 1/3 IP in 12 starts
Manning (5-4, 3.93 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 71 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 4-1 home win vs. Houston Astros Friday
- 2023 home stats: 1-2, 4.56 ERA in 25 2/3 IP in 5 starts
Yankees at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Tigers +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Tigers 3
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-125).
The Yankees have been dominating this series, winning every game by at least two runs. New York is 10 games outside of an AL Wild Card spot, so it doesn’t have a ton to play for here. Regardless, it has been the better and more consistent side.
The Tigers are 21-33 this season as home underdogs, the 8th-worst win rate in the MLB in this situation. New York is 47-49 vs. the AL while Detroit is just 40-53.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There really just isn’t much value here.
Given New York has covered the last 3 games and it is 14-16 on the run line as a road favorite, there is some value on the Yankees spread. However, at these odds, I’d rather play them to win outright.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).
The Yankees are 61-66-6 O/U this season and have gone 1-3-1 O/U in their last 5 games. They have gone Under in 3 of Schmidt’s last 5 starts.
The Over has yet to hit in the Tigers-Yankees series.
The Tigers are 65-62-5 O/U this season but are 2-3-1 O/U over their last 6 games. Detroit has scored 2 or fewer runs in its last 3 games and hasn’t scored more than 4 runs since Aug. 22. Manning is one of Detroit’s better pitchers, and the total has gone Under in 3 straight starts for him.
Take UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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