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The New York Yankees (62-68) and Detroit Tigers (59-71) open up a 4-game set at Comerica Park Monday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 5-1 last year
The Yankees stumble into this series just 2-8 over their last 10 games and 5-15 over the last 20. They’re in last place in the AL East and 11 games out of a Wild Card spot in what is increasingly looking like a lost season.
The Tigers are just 3 games behind the Yankees as their rebuild continues. They’ve been playing .500 ball lately, going 5-5 and 10-10 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively. Detroit is just 5-20 against the AL East this season.
Yankees at Tigers projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Reese Olson
Severino (3-8, 7.26 ERA) makes his 16th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.75 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 2 K Wednesday against Washington Nationals
- Last 5 starts vs. Tigers: 3-0, 1.65 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 41 K in 32 2/3 IP
Olson (2-5, 5.29 ERA) makes his 13th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 68 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K Tuesday against Chicago Cubs
- Home/road splits: 2-3, 5.53 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP at home vs. 0-2, 4.91 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 25 2/3 IP on road
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Yankees at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
Severino is coming off his best start of the season by a mile as he was able to command his fastball and get ahead early. That fastball has been pulverized to a .346 clip this year after a .186 OBA against it last season. The Tigers are scoring runs as they’ve plated 4 or more in 8 of 10 games. I’m going to fade Severino and the Yankees and roll with the TIGERS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
Detroit’s side is the only one to consider here, but we’re not paying -190.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Yankees are 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and Detroit is 5-5. The Over is just 3-7 in the last 10 between the teams, but none of those took place this year. Severino has pitched to the Over in 4 of 5 starts and Olson has pitched to the Over in his last 2 and 3 of 5. I’m a little surprised this isn’t 9 or more.
Take the OVER 8.5 (-110).
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