The New York Yankees (86-56) and Boston Red Sox (69-73) put a lid on a brief 2-game Fenway Park set Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 8-6
The Yankees went into this series off important weekend wins over the Tampa Bay Rays and then a Monday off day. OF Aaron Judge hit 2 home runs — his 56th and 57th of the season — in a wild 7-6 New York win in a 10-inning Tuesday series opener.
The Red Sox are 2-5 over their last 7 outings. Four of those 5 losses have been by 1-run margins. Boston has played in 46 1-run games (MLB average is 40). The Sox are 22-24 in such games.
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Yankees at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Cortes (9-4, 2.73 ERA) has authored a 0.95 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 135 IP across 24 starts.
- Has fanned just 10 batters over his last 17 IP
- Rocked in 3 2/3 IP in a July 8 turn at Fenway: 4 runs allowed on 8 hits (including 2 HR)
- Has been tagged with a 4.54 ERA over his last 7 road starts
Bello (1-5, 5.79 ERA) has appeared in 9 games and made 7 starts. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.
- Owns a 3.55 ERA over his last 6 outings
- Has been hurt by a .398 batting average on balls in play
Yankees at Red Sox odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:37 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Red Sox +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Yankees at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
Money line
Figure the Under as being the best play in this match-up. Visiting New York is worth a look on the Money Line … but only at -125 or better.
PASS otherwise.
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox get tangled in a lot of 1-run games. PASS.
Over/Under
The lean here is on the pitching. The Yankees have an off day Thursday, and they often rest big bats before off days to create 48-hour rest windows.
BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (+105).
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