The New York Yankees (40-34) and Boston Red Sox (44-31) open a three-game series Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. (MLB Network). ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Red Sox lead 3-0
Thursday: The Yankees beat the Kansas City Royals 8-1, taking the final two games of a three-game home series. The Red Sox lost at the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0, dropping the final two contests of a three-game set.
This is the second series this season between the AL East rivals. The Red Sox swept a three-game series at Yankee Stadium in early June.
RHP Domingo German is New York’s projected starter. He is 4-4 with a 4.17 ERA (69 IP, 32 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 13 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-5 home victory vs. Oakland A’s Saturday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 4.45 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
LHP Martin Perez is expected to start for Boston. He is 5-4 with a 4.32 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 across 14 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-1 victory at Royals Saturday
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-3, 7.92 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.79 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 7 starts
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Yankees at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+115) | Red Sox +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
The Yankees are hot, winning seven of their last nine, but at even-money, the value is with the RED SOX (+100).
They’re at home.
They’re 3-0 vs. the Yankees this season.
Perez is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Bet the RED SOX +1.5 (-140) to WIN A HALF UNIT.
The Yankees are awful against the spread, posting a 29-45 mark to rank 29th (second to last) in the majors.
Boston’s 42-33 ATS record ranks fourth in the AL. But beware. The BoSox are 17-20 ATS at home.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 10.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.
Only two of German’s 13 starts have seen 11 or more combined runs. He faced the Red Sox once already this season, yielding 1 ER in 5 2/3 innings of a no-decision.
The Under is 6-2 in Perez’s last eight starts, while nine of his 14 outings finished with 10 or fewer runs.
O/U records: Yankees 32-40-2 | Red Sox 36-38-1
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 62-72-2 | 20-28-1 | -15.2975 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 168-159-3 | 71-70-1 | -0.1875 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]