The New York Yankees (60-59) and Atlanta Braves (76-42) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Atlanta leads 1-0.
The Yankees have lost 3 in a row and their last 2 may have this club at a low point for the season. Atlanta clobbered New York 11-3 in a non-competitive boat race of a series opener on Monday and the Yanks lost 8-7 at the Miami Marlins Sunday despite leading 7-1 through 7-and-a-half innings.
The Braves had 15 hits and 8 walks in Monday’s lid-lifter. They are 7-1 over its last 8 games at home. Over that stretch, Atlanta has registered a robust .409 on-base percentage.
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Yankees at Braves projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Brad Elder
Severino (2-7, 8.06 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has registered a 1.88 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 7-3 home loss vs. Houston Astros Aug. 4
- Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in relief on road vs. Chicago White Sox Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 0-5, 9.89 ERA in 33 2/3 IP across 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Last faced the Braves in 2015
- Has pitched 27 2/3 innings since July 1, allowing 10 HR and 13 BB
Elder (8-4, 3.64 ERA) is making his 24th start. He’s logged a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 131 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 4-1, 3.44 ERA in 68 IP across 12 starts
- Has never faced the Yankees as a starter
- Has allowed 19 base runners and 12 R (10 ER) over his last 9 1/3 IP.
Yankees at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Yankees 5
Moneyline
These 2 starters make a plain case for laying off these 2 sides — the moneyline and run line.
The recent form — or in the case of Severino, season form — is just way out of whack for both. Betting the hitters to win in this one.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
With a high-total Over lean, the Atlanta -1.5 (-115) may draw some interest here, but there is enough pushback from a Yankee offense that owns a .786 OPS since Aug. 2.
AVOID.
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Over/Under
Fading the pitching here. Warm and humid conditions and a higher-elevation-than-you-think Atlanta ballpark are factors also. The last 55 Braves home games have seen the Over cash 34 times (+12.05 Units, 20% ROI).
Check out the FanDuel Sportsbook price as the best offering here. BACK THE OVER 10 (-122).
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