New York Yankees at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (60-59) and Atlanta Braves (76-42) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Atlanta leads 1-0.

The Yankees have lost 3 in a row and their last 2 may have this club at a low point for the season. Atlanta clobbered New York 11-3 in a non-competitive boat race of a series opener on Monday and the Yanks lost 8-7 at the Miami Marlins Sunday despite leading 7-1 through 7-and-a-half innings.

The Braves had 15 hits and 8 walks in Monday’s lid-lifter. They are 7-1 over its last 8 games at home. Over that stretch, Atlanta has registered a robust .409 on-base percentage.

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Yankees at Braves projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Brad Elder

Severino (2-7, 8.06 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has registered a 1.88 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 7-3 home loss vs. Houston Astros Aug. 4
  • Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in relief on road vs. Chicago White Sox Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 0-5, 9.89 ERA in 33 2/3 IP across 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Last faced the Braves in 2015
  • Has pitched 27 2/3 innings since July 1, allowing 10 HR and 13 BB

Elder (8-4, 3.64 ERA) is making his 24th start. He’s logged a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 131 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-1, 3.44 ERA in 68 IP across 12 starts
  • Has never faced the Yankees as a starter
  • Has allowed 19 base runners and 12 R (10 ER) over his last 9 1/3 IP.

Yankees at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Yankees 5

Moneyline

These 2 starters make a plain case for laying off these 2 sides — the moneyline and run line.

The recent form — or in the case of Severino, season form — is just way out of whack for both. Betting the hitters to win in this one.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

With a high-total Over lean, the Atlanta -1.5 (-115) may draw some interest here, but there is enough pushback from a Yankee offense that owns a .786 OPS since Aug. 2.

AVOID.

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Over/Under

Fading the pitching here. Warm and humid conditions and a higher-elevation-than-you-think Atlanta ballpark are factors also. The last 55 Braves home games have seen the Over cash 34 times (+12.05 Units, 20% ROI).

Check out the FanDuel Sportsbook price as the best offering here. BACK THE OVER 10 (-122).

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