The New York Mets (29-15) continue their 3-game series with the San Francisco Giants (22-19) Tuesday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
New York hammered San Francisco in the series opener 13-3 Monday. The Mets had 8 extra-base hits including 3 HRs and 5 2Bs, while SP David Peterson allowed 2 runs on 3 hits (1 homer) and a walk with 6 strikeouts in 6 innings.
Season series: Mets lead 4-1 with a plus-14 run differential
Mets at Giants projected starters
RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Logan Webb
Bassitt is 4-2 with a 2.77 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP over 8 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in 7-6 home win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday with 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
- 2022 vs. the Giants: One start, a 5-2 home loss April 20 with 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
- vs. Giants on the current roster: 2.49 FIP with a .220/.267/.331 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 25.8 K% and 83.2 mph exit velocity (EV) in 62 plate appearances (PA).
Webb is 5-1 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 48 1/3 IP across 8 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in 5-3 loss at the Colorado Rockies Wednesday with 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.
- 2022 vs. the Mets: One start, a 3-1 road loss April 19 with 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 1 K.
- vs. Mets on the current roster: 6.12 FIP with a .253/.321/.399 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 19.0 K% and 87.1 mph EV in 58 PA.
Mets at Giants odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-205) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Mets at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 7, Mets 3
Money line
BET GIANTS (-130).
They have an edge in the starting pitching matchup, have won 17 straight games Webb has started at home since the beginning of last season and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Giants, whereas the public is betting the Mets.
Webb grades in the 83rd percentile of chase rate and none of his pitches have a plus-run value (RV), while 2 of his 4 pitches have a minus-RV, per Statcast. Bassitt grades in the 15th percentile of chase rate, none of his pitches have a minus-RV and 3 of his 6 pitches have a plus-RV.
Nearly three-fourths of the money is on the Giants (-130), but 55% of the bets placed are on the Mets, according to Pregame.com. When professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe, the cash column of the betting splits is seen as the sharper side.
BET GIANTS (-130).
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Giants -1.5 (+165) since San Francisco has won by at least 6 runs in 4 of Webb’s past 5 starts.
However, the Giants are 6-15 RL as home favorites, the Mets are 5-0 RL as road underdogs and Bassitt has much better pitching peripherals vs. San Francisco than Webb does against New York.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-102) because the total has been steamed up by sharp-line movement from a 7-run opener, these teams have a combined 8-6 O/U when these starters get the nod, the Giants are 13-8 O/U as home favorites and the Mets are 3-1-1 O/U as road underdogs.
Also, Oracle Park is 10th in run factor aka very hitter-friendly and the weather forecast is predicting nearly 15 mph winds blowing out to right-center field.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]