New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (59-60) play the third and final game of their road series against the San Francisco Giants (78-42) Wednesday, hoping to avoid the sweep. First pitch in the finale is set for 3:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.42 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 50 IP.

  • The Mets lost each of his last three starts and he lost his last two decisions.
  • He didn’t pitch more than 5 innings in any of his last three starts and allowed at least 3 earned runs in all three. His ERA in his last three starts is 6.75.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani (11-5, 3.29 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 131 1/3 IP.

  • He has an ERA of 6.00 over his last five starts.
  • The Giants are 16-7 when he starts and 7-2 when he starts at home.

Mets at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Giants -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

The Mets have lost five games in a row and are 23-37 on the road this season. They have dropped their last six and eight of their last nine on the road.

The Giants won nine of their last 10 games and are 14-3 in their last 17 games. At 42-18, they have the best home record in baseball.

Take the GIANTS  (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets have the third-worst ATS record in baseball at 50-69 ATS. They are 26-34 ATS on the road and covered the spread in only four of their last 12 games.

The Giants have the best ATS record in baseball at 75-45 ATS. They are 35-25 ATS at home and 10 of their last 15 wins were by at least 2 runs.

Take the GIANTS -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 52% of the games at Oracle Park have gone Over the projected total.

Five of the Mets’ last seven games had a total of 9 or more runs.

Six of the last 14 games for the Giants finished with 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-120).

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