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The New York Mets (81-67) and Philadelphia Phillies (89-59) battle Sunday as they put a bow on a 3-game NL East series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 5-3
New York took the opener of this series 11-3 and then fell 6-4 Saturday. The setback in the 2nd game marked the end of a 3-game Mets win streak at Citizens.
On Saturday, the Phillies banged out 4 extra-base hits in winning for the 4th time in their last 5 games. Those 5 games were at home where Philadelphia owns a league-best 51-26 record.
Mets at Phillies projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Peterson (9-2, 2.98 ERA) is tabbed for his 19th start. He owns a 1.35 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 102 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-2 defeat at Toronto Blue Jays 6-2 Tuesday
- Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 5.30 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)
Sanchez (10-9, 3.33 ERA) is making his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 165 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Monday
- Career vs. Mets: 1-2, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 7 appearances (4 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Mets 5
Moneyline
New York is just 5-11 across its last 16 games vs. the PHILLIES (-150).
Peg Peterson as a fade candidate due to some favorable batting-average-on-balls-in-play numbers. Sanchez owns a wide gulf in his home-road splits: He’s logged a 2.11 ERA at Citizens and a 5.13 ERA elsewhere. Overall, he owns a 2.14 ERA, 0.92 WHIP over his last 5 starts.
The Phillies are 51-26 at home but just 36-41 ATS in those games. PHILADELPHIA (-150) is worth a partial-unit play.
Run line/Against the spread
Look to the ML action for the best leverage: PASS.
Over/Under
Four of the last 5 Mets-Phillies games at Citizens have cashed on the Over. Six of Philadelphia’s last 8 games have hit the Over.
The lefty-lefty matchup on the mound plays into strengths for both lineups. Philadelphia (.792 OPS vs. lefties) and New York (.774 OPS vs. lefties) rank No. 1 and No. 4, respectively, in OPS against port-siders.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the best tag here. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).
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