The New York Mets (47-53) and New York Yankees (53-48) meet Wednesday for the back half of a 2-game Subway Series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 2-1
The Mets had slashed a subpar .188/.276/.321 in going 4-7 from July 8-23, but they exploded for 9 runs in Tuesday’s series opener. New York’s National League entry registered 5 doubles and 3 HRs in downing the Yankees 9-3 Tuesday.
The Yankees had a 3-game win streak snapped Tuesday and are 5-10 over their last 15 games. They are last in the AL East, 9 games back.
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Mets at Yankees projected starters
LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Quintana (0-1, 3.60 ERA) is making his 2nd start of the season. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 5 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K vs. Chicago White Sox Thursday
- Thursday’s turn marked his 1st of the season after a recovery from rib-cage surgery
- Last start vs. Yankees: 5 IP, 1R, 6H, 0 BB, 7K on July 5, 2022
- Logged a 2.93 ERA in 165 2/3 IP last season
Rodon (0-3, 7.36 ERA) is making his 4th start. He’s logged a 1.43 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 14 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 R, 4 H, 5 BB, 3 K at Los Angeles July 19
- Made his season debut July 7 after missing April-June due to forearm and back injuries
- Has faced the Mets once (April 20, 2022): 5 IP, 0R, 3H, 2 BB, 8K
- Owns a 3.66 ERA over 155 career games
Mets at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets +128 (bet $100 to win $128) | Yankees -152 (bet $152 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-164) | Yankees -1.5 (+136)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
The Mets have underplayed their talent so far. They’ve scored 4.47 runs per game while allowing 4.58: look for both figures to improve in the second half.
The mound match-up is plenty questionable on both sides, but the Yankees bullpen figures as one due some regression and Rodon has just been way off so far.
The price here is solid: BACK THE METS (+128).
Run line/Against the spread
This is also a solid price on the visiting nine. Some bettors may want to spread the risk across 2 plays — the ML action above and METS +1.5 (-164).
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Over/Under
Since July 3, games at Yankee Stadium have seen the Over go 7-2-2.
With some fade against the Yankee bullpen, and on a warm night in the Bronx, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).
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