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The New York Mets (87-72) and the Milwaukee Brewers (93-68) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 5-0, including a sweep of the season-opening series March 29-31
The Brewers blanked the Mets 6-0 Saturday, as opener RHP Jared Koenig and 4 relievers limited New York to just 2 hits, a Jose Iglesias single and a Starling Marte double.
Milwaukee is locked into the NL No. 3 seed, but it has played with desperation, winning 5 of the past 6 games, while New York is fighting for a postseason spot, and it can’t get out of its own way.
The Mets have lost 3 in a row, while collecting just 5 total runs of offense during the span. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for New York, which slipped to a game behind the Atlanta Braves. The Braves, Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks are battling for 2 available Wild Card spots.
After this series, New York will head to Atlanta to make up a doubleheader with the Braves.
Mets at Brewers projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Colin Rea
Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
- 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA, 65 2/3 IP, 21 ER, 60 H, 4 HR, 23 BB, 42 K, .246 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.26 WHIP in 11 starts
- Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.14 ERA, 43 IP, 15 ER, 44 H, 9 BB, 37 K, 1.23 WHIP
- Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 6.14 ERA, 14 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 16 H, 1 HR, 11 BB, 14 K, 1.84 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)
Rea (12-5, 4.17 ERA) makes his 27th start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 IP.
- Last appearance: Hold, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 7-2 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 7-4 home victory vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 20
- 2024 home splits: 7-3, 3.92 ERA, 87 1/3 IP, 38 ER, 16 HR, 18 BB, 74 K, .224 OBA, 1.05 WHIP in 16 appearances (14 starts)
- Last 7 games: 1-1, 7.43 ERA, 26 2/3 IP, 22 ER, 39 H, 4 BB, 22 K, 1.61 WHIP in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
- Career vs. Mets: 3-0, 1.40 ERA, 19 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100 ) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 3, Mets 2
Moneyline
The BREWERS (+100) are the play in the series finale.
The Mets (-120) should be playing with a sense or urgency, but they’ve scored just 5 runs total in the past 3 games, and it appears the 2 postponed games knocked them off track last week in Atlanta. It’s a tough spot, sure, but when you’re battling for a playoff spot, it needs to be all hands on deck, and the Mets have gone into a hole, and are not rising to the occasion. It’s concerning.
The fact Rea is 3-0 in his career against the Mets is a huge concern for the visitors, too. Milwaukee looks to finish the regular season a 6-0 mark vs. New York.
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets -1.5 (+145) can’t be trusted on the run line. This should be a 1-score game, so avoid taking the Brewers +1.5 (-175) laying the run and a half, too.
AVOID.
Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board in this season finale for the Brewers.
The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Milwaukee, while going 7-4-1 in the previous 12 outings since Sept. 16.
For the Mets, the Under is also 3-1 in the past 4 games, and New York has plated just 7 runs in the 4-game span, good for 1.8 runs per game.
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