The New York Mets (3-3) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (4-1) in the finale of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch at American Family Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 2-0.
The Mets lost 9-0 to the Brewers Tuesday as RHP Max Scherzer struggled on the mound. The righty was tagged for 5 ER on 8 H (3 HR) and 2 BB with 2 K across 5 1/3 IP.
The Brewers have outscored the Mets 19-0 in the first 2-game of the series. Milwaukee hit 5 HR Tuesday with OF Garrett Mitchell and 3B Brian Anderson contributing 2 each.
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Mets at Brewers projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Peterson (0-1, 1.80 ERA) will make his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 1 ER on 8 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 5 IP in his debut at the Miami Marlins Friday.
- Finished 2022 in the bullpen for his final 7 appearances and hasn’t been credited with a win since Aug. 27.
- Went 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance vs. Milwaukee last season.
Burnes (0-1, 7.20 ERA) will make his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER on 4 H and 3 BB with 3 K over 5 IP in his debut at the Chicago Cubs Thursday.
- Only allowed more than 3 ER once in his final 6 starts last season (5 ER allowed to the Mets on Sept. 19).
- Went 1-1 with a combined 5.40 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 while allowing a .267 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts against the Mets last season.
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Brewers -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Mets 3
Moneyline
I’ll back the BREWERS (-135) Wednesday despite Burnes struggling in his 1st start of the season. I expect him to bounce back and Milwaukee’s bats are hot right now.
Run line/Against the spread
BREWERS -1.5 (+150) has solid value as Milwaukee looks to complete the series sweep over New York. The Brewers have outscored the Mets 25-0 in the last 3 meetings dating back to last season.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).
The winner has scored at least 5 runs in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these clubs. The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee and is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings overall.
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