The New York Mets (3-2) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (3-1) Tuesday as the NL clubs continue their 3-game set at American Family Field with the middle contest. First pitch is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 1-0
New York was pummeled 10-0 in Monday’s matinee opener. They were held to just 3 hits while the pitching staff allowed more than 3 runs in a game for the 1st time this season.
After scoring 1 run in the 3rd and 2 in the 4th, the Brewers put it away with a 7-run 5th, capped by rookie 2B Brian Turang’s grand slam. The Brewers have scored 19 runs over their last 2 games — they beat the Chicago Cubs 9-5 at Wrigley Field Sunday.
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Mets at Brewers projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP Wade Miley
Scherzer (1-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start of 2023.
- Last outing: W, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 road win at Miami Marlins Thursday; registered 13 swings and misses in 91 pitches
- Last season: 11-5, 2.29 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 10.7 K/9, 1.5 BB/9 in 145 1/3 IP (23 starts)
- Pitched 6 shutout frames (with 9 K’s) here in September
- Owns a 1.55 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Brewers
Miley will be making his 2023 debut.
- Last season: 2-2, 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, 3.4 BB/9 in injury-shortened 37-inning season across 9 games (8 starts) for the Cubs
- Current Mets own an aggregate .710 OPS against him
- Historically, March/April is Miley’s best month in terms of allowed OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) at .679
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+110) | Brewers +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Brewers 4
Moneyline
The Mets (-150) are a fair favorite here. The true odds are likely buried in between these prices. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
No interest in supporting either side. PASS.
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Over/Under
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 series meetings.
New York’s offense has gotten off to a slow start, and that is somewhat due to a .289 on-base percentage when leading off innings and a .184 batting average with runners in scoring position.
Lean into the offense for both clubs and add in some starting pitching fade on both sides (kinder ERAs than deserved last season), and OVER 8 (-115) is a nice play in this matchup.
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