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The New York Mets take on the Milwaukee Brewers in the 1st game of a best-of-3 NL Wild Card series Tuesday at American Family Field. First pitch is slated for 5:32 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers won 5-1
The Mets (89-73) grabbed 1 of the final Wild Card spots by splitting a doubleheader with the Atlanta Braves Monday. They took the opening game 8-7 and dropped the finale 3-0, which got the Braves into the postseason as well. SS Francisco Lindor, the team’s MVP, hit a 2-run shot in the top of the 9th for the eventual win in the opener Monday.
The Brewers (88-72) just finished a series with the Mets over the weekend and took 2 of 3 with 8-4 and 6-0 victories and a 5-0 loss Sunday. 1B Rhys Hoskins is in a zone, hitting .294 with 2 HRs and 9 RBIs over the last 12 games.
Mets at Brewers projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) made 31 starts and had a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 182 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K Tuesday against Atlanta Braves
- Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 3 starts
Peralta (11-9, 3.68 ERA) made 32 starts and had a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K Wednesday against Pittsburgh Pirates
- Career vs. Mets: 3-0, 2.60 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 3 starts
Mets at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated 12:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Mets 4
Moneyline
The Brewers have the extra rest, have dominated the series and have home-field advantage. Peralta has been great against the Mets. I really don’t see any reason to not go BREWERS -140.
Run line/Against the spread
No value here so PASS. But Peralta had 9 and 7 K’s in his last 2 starts. He also had 8 K’s in his 1st start of the season against the Mets. So I’ll take FREDDY PERALTA OVER 5.5 K’S (-150).
Over/Under
It’s expected to be 65 degrees with a fierce 17-mph wind blowing out to center field at gametime if they have the roof open. That could lead to some fireworks. I look for runs to come aplenty. Take the OVER 7.5 (-115).
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