The New York Mets (1-0) will face the Miami Marlins (0-1) in the 2nd game of a 4-game series on Friday at loanDepot Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0.
The Mets defeated the Marlins 5-3 on Opening Day Thursday with RHP Max Scherzer allowing 3 ER in 6 IP while striking out 6 batters. OF Brandon Nimmo led the way offensively with 3 RBIs.
The Marlins lost with reigning NL Cy Young winner RHP Sandy Alcantara on the mound. He finished with 2 K, 4 BB, and 3 ER in 5 2/3 IP.
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Mets at Marlins projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo
Peterson went 7-5 in 19 starts during the 2022 season. He finished with a 3.83 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9, and 10.7 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP.
- Won the final spot in New York’s rotation with RHP Justin Verlander and LHP Jose Quintana dealing with injuries
- Has recorded 15-plus starts for the Mets in back-to-back seasons
Lazardo recorded a 4-7 record in 18 starts in 2022, finishing with a 3.32 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9, and 10.8 K/9 in 100 1/3 IP.
- Was 0-1 with 6.75 ERA in 2 starts vs. Mets last year, allowing 10 H, 7 ER in 9.1 IP
- Registered at least 6 IP in 11 of his 18 starts last season
Mets at Marlins nickname odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Marlins -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+150) | Marlins +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
Back the METS (-108) in this NL East matchup despite being on the road. Both teams will have southpaws on the mound, but New York has a lineup that is more adept to hit lefties and Miami’s bullpen isn’t a reliable unit.
The Mets have won 6 of their last 7 road meetings against the Marlins.
Run line/Against the spread
METS -1.5 (+150) has some value, despite many expecting a solid season from Luzardo. Peterson is a formidable pitcher in his own right and New York has enough firepower in its lineup to win by 2-plus runs.
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Over/Under
OVER 7.5 (-105) is how I’d wager on the total as it remains to be seen how long the starting pitchers go in this game this early in the season. The Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams.
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