The New York Mets (55-49) and Miami Marlins (44-61) open a four-game NL East series Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Tylor Megill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 1-0 with a 2.04 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 35 1/3 IP spanning seven starts.
- Enters this start on a roll with a 1.04 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across 5 starts in July.
- Has benefited from a .270 batting average on balls in play and a 93.0% left-on-base rate.
LHP Jesus Luzardo is the projected starter for the Marlins. He is 2-4 with a 6.87 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 over 38 IP across six starts and seven relief appearances.
- Was acquired from the Oakland Athletics last week. Owns a 4.79 career ERA.
Mets at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+105) | Marlins +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Prediction
Marlins 4, Mets 3
Money line (ML)
The Mets are just 4-6 — with four 1-run victories — over their last 10 games. They are on the road after an 11-game homestand, and New York is just 6-9 over its last 15 games away from Citi Field.
The Marlins were swept over the weekend by the New York Yankees. The Marlins are just 6-14 since July 8. At home this season the Fish are a respectable 24-26 with a plus-21 run differential.
Luzardo is a wildcard, but MIAMI (+140) is a solid play. Megill is too far over his skis with a 2.04 surface ERA, and the New York bullpen isn’t in the best of shape heading into this set.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line and concentrate on the straight-up Miami play to get the best bang for your buck.
Over/Under (O/U)
Not much of a lean here — just a sliver of room on the UNDER 7.5 (-115).
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