The New York Mets (77-84) play their final game of the year on the road Sunday against the playoff-bound Atlanta Braves (87-73). First pitch is set for 3:20 p.m. at Truist Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Mets RHP Noah Syndergaard (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes just his second start of the year. He allowed 0 H and 0 BB with 2 K over 1 IP in his first appearance.
- Returning from Tommy John surgery in March 2020
- Will be an unrestricted free agent after the season.
Braves RHP Charlie Morton (14-6, 3.39 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 183 IP.
- Is 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA over 24 innings pitched over four starts against the Mets this season. The Braves won three of those outings.
- Pitched 7 scoreless innings with 3 hits and 2 walks in a 2-1 win over the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday.
Mets at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+133)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Prediction
Braves 5, Mets 4
Money line (ML)
The season series is split 9-9 so far. The Mets’ season ends today, while the Braves, who have clinched the NL East, will face the Milwaukee Brewers in the playoffs.
The Mets have won four of their last six games but are 5-12 in their last 17 games. They are only 30-50 on the road.
The Braves are 41-38 at home and have finished the season strong. They have won 11 of their last 13 games.
Take the BRAVES (-155).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Mets have covered the spread in three straight games but are only 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games. They are 10-8 ATS against the Braves this season.
The Braves have the leagues’ worst cover percentage at home at 34.2% (27-52 ATS), and they are 20-49 ATS when favored at home.
I like them to win, but it will be a 1-run game.
Take the METS +1.5 (-165).
Over/Under (O/U)
Seven of the 18 games between the two teams this season had totals of 9 or more runs. When the total is set at 8.5, the Mets are 14-18 O/U.
With the total set at 8.5, the Braves are 19-16 O/U.
Truist Park has the third-highest Over percentage in the majors at 57.8%.
Take OVER 8.5 (-107).
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