The New York Mets (40-34) open a three-game road series Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves (37-40), who are starting a six-game homestand. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Tylor Megill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He has made one start and allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 4 K over 4 1/3 IP.
He made his major league debut against the Braves June 23. The Mets won 7-3.
RHP Charlie Morton is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 7-3 with a 3.68 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 80 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.
He struck out 11 against the Mets and allowed 1hit in 7 scoreless innings in a 3-0 Braves win in his last start. He didn’t allow a run in either of his last two starts, spanning 14 2/3 innings.
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Mets at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.
- Money line: Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Prediction
Braves 5, Mets 3
Money line (ML)
The Mets lost three of their last four games and are 16-23 on the road but have won five of eight games against the Braves this season.
The Braves are 20-20 at home and 17-20 against the NL East, including 3-5 against the Mets. However, they have won six of Morton’s last seven starts, including his last four at home.
Take the BRAVES (-160).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Mets are 34-40 ATS overall this season and 18-21 ATS on the road. They failed to cover the spread in five straight games and in six of their last seven.
The Braves have the third-lowest cover percentage in baseball at 41.6% and the second-lowest cover percentage at home at 32.5%. They covered the spread in only three of their last 10 games, but their last five wins with Morton starting were each by at least two runs.
Take the BRAVES -1.5 (+120).
Over/Under (O/U)
Truist Park has the league’s third-highest Over percentage at 63.2% but only one of the Braves’ last nine games hit the Over. Only one of Morton’s last seven starts had a total greater than 9.
Only four of the Mets’ last 14 games went Over the projected total.
Take UNDER 9 (-120).
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