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The New York Liberty (17-4) and Connecticut Sun (17-4) meet Wednesday afternoon at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Liberty lead 1-0
The Liberty picked up an 82-75 home win against the Sun June 8, cashing as 2.5-point favorites with the Over (154) hitting in their 1st regular-season meeting.
Last season, New York won all 4 regular-season meetings vs. Connecticut, while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) with the Over/Under splitting 2-2.
In the postseason, the Liberty rebounded from a Game 1 loss to win a best-of-5 semifinal series in 4 games vs. the Sun — though Connecticut covered 3 of the 4 playoff battles.
New York is coming off an 83-78 loss as a 10.5-point favorite at the Indiana Fever Saturday, snapping a 5-game win streak. The Liberty are a dismal 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games, while the Under has cashed in 3 in a row.
Connecticut won 80-67 against the visiting Atlanta Dream Sunday, but it just missed the cover as a 14-point favorite. The Sun have won 3 in a row, but it is just 4-3 in the past 7 games, while going 2-6 ATS in the previous 8 contests. The Under has hit in 3 in a row, and 7 of the past 9 contests.
Liberty at Sun odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -158 (bet $158 to win $100) | Sun +128 (bet $100 to win $128)
- Against the spread: Liberty -2.5 (-112) | Sun +2.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)
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Liberty at Sun picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 79, Liberty 75
Moneyline
CONNECTICUT (+128) is a solid moderate underdog on its home court against New York (-158).
Yes, the Liberty has dominated this series lately, winning 8 of the past 9 head-to-head battles, including in 5 straight trips to Connecticut. However, the Sun enter this crucial showdown with 3 straight wins, including impressive victories at the Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx last week.
Against the spread
Connecticut +2.5 (-108) is worth a look catching the little bit of points if you are a bit on the conservative side and don’t want to bet the moneyline. However, the better value is playing the Sun straight up, and by no means should you play both ends together.
Over/Under
UNDER 156.5 (-106) is a solid play in this clash for the top overall spot in the W.
The Under has cashed in 3 straight regular-season games for Connecticut, while going 7-3 in the past 10 outings. At home, the Sun have cashed Unders in 2 of the past 3.
For the Liberty, they enter play with 3 consecutive Under results, while the Under is 6-3 in the past 9 outings on the road. However, the 1st head-to-head battle in Connecticut teams went Over, so be careful, and go lightly.
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