The New York Knicks (23-25) head to South Beach Wednesday to play the Miami Heat (30-17) at the FTX Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
New York lost a 95-93 heartbreaker at the Cleveland Cavaliers Monday but covered as 5-point road underdogs. The Knicks are 3-4 straight-up (SU) and 5-2 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.
Miami beat the Los Angeles Lakers 113-107 at home Sunday and covered as 4-point favorites. The Heat are 5-2 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.
The Heat have won seven of their last eight games versus the Knicks (6-2 ATS) including all three meetings last season.
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Knicks at Heat odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Knicks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Heat -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +5.5 (-108) | Heat -5.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Knicks at Heat key injuries
Knicks
- C Nerlens Noel (knee) questionable
- C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) questionable
- PG Derrick Rose (ankle) out
Heat
- PG Kyle Lowry (personal) out
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Knicks at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 107, Knicks 104
Money line
PASS even though I “lean” to New York plus the points and generally like to sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover the spread.
But, the Knicks (+190) isn’t a fat enough payout considering they are just 4-8 SU as a road underdog and the Heat (-240) is 12-5 SU as a home favorite.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the KNICKS +5.5 (-108) because there has been slight reverse line movement in New York’s direction.
For instance, according to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the action is on the Heat -5.5 (-112), but they’ve been lowered from a 7-point favorite on the look-ahead.
New York has covered its past four games as an underdog, but it’s only a “LEAN” to the KNICKS +5.5 (-108) because Miami has covered five of its past six as a favorite and have New York’s number in their recent history.
Over/Under
BET the OVER 203.5 (-112) for a variety of reasons.
First of all, two of the three assigned referees for this game have officiated more Overs. This inches me closer to the Over since both teams have an above-average offensive FT/FGA rate. Also, Miami is 25th in defensive FT/FGA rate.
Furthermore, both teams rank 10th or better in 3-point shooting percentage but each allows opponents to chuck 3-pointers. For instance, New York is 24th in opponent’s 3-point attempts per game and Miami is 28th.
Also, both teams have strong defensive ratings and the previous two Knicks-Heat games have combined for fewer than 200 points so I’m expecting more action to be on the Under for this game.
For what it’s worth, the OVER 203.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this contest.
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