New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Knicks (44-30) square off against the Miami Heat (41-33) Tuesday with tip-off from Kaseya Center set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Knicks lead 2-0

The Knicks are coming off a heartbreaking 113-112 home loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder Sunday. G Jalen Brunson followed up his 61-point performance with 30. Knicks not named Brunson shot just 9-for-32 (28%) from 3-point land in the Sunday defeat. The Knicks remain in 4th place, a half-game behind the Cleveland Cavaliers in the East. They’re 7-3 over the last 10.

The Heat are in the top Play-In Tournament spot at 7th and trail the Indiana Pacers for 6th by a game. They’re coming off convincing, 142-82 and 119-107 wins over the Portland Trail Blazers and Washington Wizards. In the Wiz game Sunday, C Bam Adebayo had 22 points, 10 boards and 5 assists.

Knicks at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Knicks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Heat -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +2.5 (-105) | Heat -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Knicks at Heat key injuries

Knicks

  • F OG Anunoby (elbow) out
  • F Julius Randle (shoulder) out
  • C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) questionable

Heat

  • G Tyler Herro (foot) out
  • G Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable
  • F Duncan Robinson (back) questionable
  • G Terry Rozier (knee) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Knicks at Heat and predictions

Prediction

Heat 111, Knicks 106

Moneyline

The Knicks are 2-0 against the Heat this season, but both games were at MSG. The teams are an even 5-5 over the last 10 meetings, but Miami has won all 4 at home. I look for Miami to make it 5 in a row, and it’s not priced out of our pocket yet.

You can take HEAT -150 or look to the spread.

Against the spread

Each Heat win in Miami in this 10-game window has been by 4+ points. This 2.5-point window is right at my limit that I’d lay on the spread. F Jimmy Butler has kind of been on cruise control, averaging 14.2 PPG while shooting 45.4% (15-for-33) during the stretch. I’d look for him to ramp it up Tuesday night.

Take the HEAT -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

This is a smaller total than I envisioned at 1st glance. The Heat are 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and the Knicks are 6-4. This is the 2nd-lowest total in this matchup in the last 10 meetings.

Take the OVER 206.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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