New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (37-27) visit the Miami Heat (33-30) on Friday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks steamrolled the Nets 142-118 on Wednesday to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. They have now won 7 in a row and 9 of their last 10 games. In that span, New York is 8-1-1 against the spread (ATS) to improve to 35-26-3 ATS this season.

Miami fell to Philadelphia 119-96 at home on Wednesday, failing to cover as 3.5-point home favorites. It is just 1-5 in its last 6 games both outright and ATS. The Heat are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games to fall to 28-35 ATS this season.

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Knicks at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Knicks -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Heat +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks -2.5 (-112) | Heat +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Knicks at Heat key injuries

Knicks

  • Not yet submitted

Heat

  • PF Jimmy Butler (knee) questionable
  • SF Nikola Jovic (back) out
  • PG Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 110, Heat 103

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline does not present a profitable play on the Knicks in this matchup.

Against the spread

BET KNICKS -2.5 (-112).

The Knicks have been on a hot streak recently going 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Knicks are also 20-10 ATS on the road this season.

The Heat are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an outright loss of 10 or more points. They are also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games to fall to 9-20-1 ATS at home this season.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 215.5 (-115).

The Knicks’ defense ranks 7th in the NBA in opponent points per game while the Heats’ offense ranks 30th in points per game. Similarly, the Miami defense ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent points per game while the New York offense ranks 12th in points per game.

This game is shaping up to be a defensive battle that will put points at a premium.

The Under is also 5-0 in the Heat’s last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.

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