The Miami Heat look to close out the New York Knicks at Kaseya Center Friday. Tip for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat went up 3-1 on the Knicks before losing Game 5 on the road 112-103. The 8th-seeded team in the East took down the top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks in 5 games in the 1st round, covering 4 of the 5. The Heat are 8-2 against the spread (ATS) in their 10 playoff games and are 4-0 ATS at home.
The Knicks, who took down the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 1st round and covered in 4 of those 5, are looking to force a Game 7. New York is 5-5 ATS in its last 10 playoff games. The Knicks finished the regular season 44-34-4 ATS. New York has been led in the playoffs by G Jalen Brunson, who is averaging 26.5 points per game.
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Knicks at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Knicks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Heat -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +5.5 (-110) | Heat -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Knicks at Heat key injuries
Knicks
- Not yet submitted
Heat
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For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Knicks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 110, Knicks 104
Moneyline
PASS.
Miami has been perfect at home, having a 4-0 straight up and ATS record.
However, with the Knicks looking to put in the effort and keep their season alive, Miami is too expensive to win outright at (-225). Similarly, it has been too good to bet against either.
Against the spread
LEAN HEAT -5.5 (-110).
Again, the Heat have been dominant at home. They were just 31-49-2 ATS in the regular season, but have turned that around in the playoffs.
F Jimmy Butler is averaging 31.9 points per game and is shooting 55.1% from the field. He’s averaging 35.3 per game at home. Butler is a key reason for the Heat turnaround. They are 4-0 ATS at home in the playoffs and should continue that dominance.
The Knicks are just 2-3 ATS on the road in the playoffs. Ultimately, although New York will have its back against the wall, take HEAT -5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 208.5 (-110).
The Knicks have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 games and have topped 100 in 6 of their last 7 which should bode well for bettors given this ultra-low total.
Miami has gone Over in 8 of its 10 playoff games and and scored at least 105 in all but 1 of those. It should bounce back after shooting just 42% from the field in Game 5.
Take the OVER 208.5 (-110).
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