New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (31-32) battle the Golden State Warriors (33-30) at Chase Center Friday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans have beaten the Warriors in both games between the teams. They are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), though, failing to cover as 11-point favorites in a 114-105 home win Nov. 4. The total is 0-2 O/U.

New Orleans beat Portland 121-110 on the road Wednesday, covering as a 3-point road underdog. It is just 1-4 ATS over its last 5 games though. The Pelicans are 2-3 straight up and 2-3 ATS over their last 5 road games.

Golden State, on the other hand, beat the Clippers 115-91 Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Warriors have covered all 4 games in their homestretch, which ends against the Pelicans. Golden State is 30-31-2 ATS on the season.

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Pelicans at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Warriors -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +4.5 (-115) | Warriors -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Warriors key injuries

Pelicans

  • C Jonas Valanciunas (calf) doubtful
  • F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Warriors

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 116, Pelicans 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Warriors are one of 3 teams in the West with single-digit home losses. That said, they still aren’t worth an outright play at (-180).

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS -4.5 (-108).

The Warriors are the 2nd-best home-covering team in the NBA, posting a 21-11-1 ATS record at the Chase Center. Similarly, New Orleans is one of the worst road-covering teams in the Association, posting just a 12-19-1 record away from home.

The Warriors are also rolling, having covered 4 in a row and having won all 4 outright by at least this margin. Without Valanciunas as well, the Pelicans won’t be able to take advantage of Golden State’s size issues.

Ultimately, back the WARRIORS -4.5 (-108).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-110).

The Warriors are just 13-19-1 O/U at home this season, and the season-long series matchup favorites the Under as well.

New Orleans has gone Under in 5 of its last 6 games while Golden State has gone Under in 5 straight games, allowing 105 or fewer points in its last 4 straight. Without Curry, their defense remains solid, but their offense takes a huge hit.

That said, back the UNDER 230.5 (-110).

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