Mountain West Win Totals: Who Provides Best Value?

Mountain West Win Totals: Who Provides Best Value? Early season win totals are out. Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire Place your bets! Two locations have released their win totals from Caesars and the sportsbook from Draft Kings and they are …

Nevada

Caesars – 5.5

Draft Kings – 6.5

This could be one of the more sure things on the board. Well, at least for the Caesars line at 5.5. Nevada is one of two teams in the West to return its head coach and quarterback. They have running back Toa Taua who is entering his third year as the starter.

They also get to host two of the tougher teams in Wyoming and San Diego State. The over even for Draft Kings could be doable but go with Caesars.

San Diego State

Caesars – 8

Draft Kings – 7.5

This one is interesting. San Diego State has a new coach in Brady Hoke but he has been on staff as the defensive line coach and also is making his second stint as Aztecs head coach which he did well in years ago.

There is no quarterback at the moment with the graduation of Ryan Agnes. The running game does lose Juwan Washington but his health last year hurt San Diego State more than being helpful.

This team has had fewer than seven wins just one time since 2011, so taking the over from Draft Kings is a safer bet since it only takes eight wins to get the win.

San Jose State

Caesars – 5.5

Draft Kings – 5

This seems a bit high for San Jose State who was really close to going to a bowl game last year but losing QB Josh Love probably means the team is going to take a step back. They do have wide receiver Tre Walker but they need more than a game-changing wide out. Under is the safe bet.

UNLV

Caesars – 3.5

Draft Kings – 3

This could be another safe bet to take the under with Marcus Arroyo one of many new coaches in the Mountain West. The Rebels have talent in running back Charles Williams who should be the rock of this offense. The defense had issues as well las year and UNLV is 129th out of 130 in FBS for returning production.

Basically, this is a Year 0 like in New Mexico.

Utah State

Caesars – 5

Draft Kings – 5.5

This seems low. Even with the lose of quarterback Jordan Love and a few defenders like David Woodward. Henry Colombi is slated to be the starting quarterback and should be somewhat close to Love’s 2019 production (probably not 2018).

However, the schedule is tough with games vs. Washington State, at Washington, at BYU, at Boise State, at Wyoming, and at Nevada. This line is possibly the most difficult to pick. A bowl game could be in the works and maybe even probably but finishing with five games seems unlikely for how Utah State has played over the past few years. Utah State has made a bowl game in six of the seven years while a Mountain West member. My pick is to pass on making any bet on this lne.

Wyoming

Caesars – 6

Draft Kings – 6.5

This might be the most obvious to take the over. Wyoming will have a really good defense even by losing Logan Wilson and others. The quarterback situation is not clear but Sean Chambers player very well as did Levi Williams in limited action. Plus, they have the best running back returning in Xazavian Valladay.

Their schedule is not easy with a non-conference game at Louisiana, hosting Utah, and going to Ball State is not exactly a walk in the park. As for league play, the host Boise State, San Diego State and Air Force. The Cowboys have a big spread for the number of wins but they should surpass seven.

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