Missouri at Tennessee odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Missouri at Tennessee odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Missouri Tigers (18-6, 6-5 SEC) visit the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (19-5, 8-3) on Saturday. Tip from Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville is set for 6 p.m. ET (SECN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Missouri vs. Tennessee odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Missouri took care of South Carolina 83-74 at home Tuesday, but failed to cover as 15-point favorites. While Mizzou is 4-1 outright in its last 5 games, it is just 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in that span. Over the Tigers’ last 10 games they are 3-6-1 ATS and 12-11-1 ATS on the season.

The Volunteers dropped a close one Wednesday on the road at Vanderbilt, losing 66-65 and failing to cover as 10-point road favorites. It was their 3rd ATS loss in a row, but they are 4-3 ATS in their last 7 games and 5-5 ATS in their last 10, going 13-11 ATS this season.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Missouri at Tennessee odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Missouri +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Tennessee -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Missouri +12.5 (-115) | Tennessee -12.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Missouri at Tennessee picks and predictions

Prediction

Tennessee 73, Missouri 59

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline odds are not worth a play in this game.

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Against the spread

LEAN TENNESSEE -12.5 (-105).

Tennessee has played its best basketball on its home court this season with an 11-1 home record while the Tigers are just 2-4 on the road.

The Volunteers have top-ranked defense, ranking 2nd in opponent points per game (55), 1st in opponent field goal percentage (34.75%) and 1st in opponent 3-point percentage (22.8%). Missouri’s defense ranks 305th in opponent points per game (74.8), a recipe for disaster for the Tigers as they battle a top-10 team on the road.

Tennessee is also 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following an outright loss, 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record and 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games following a ATS loss.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 142.5 (-115).

The Under is 4-0 in the Tigers’ last 4 Saturday games, 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, 5-1 in their last 6 games following an outright win and 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Under is also 4-1 in the Volunteers’ last 5 games.

As it stands, 142.5 points is the highest total-points line in Tennessee’s last 10 games by 5 points.

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