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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-4, 0-2 SEC) take on the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs (4-1, 2-1) Saturday. Kickoff from Sanford Stadium is set for 4:15 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Mississippi State vs. Georgia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Mississippi State, who is coming off a bye, was handed a 35-13 blowout loss vs. the No. 2 Texas Longhorns on Sept. 28 while covering as a 37-point underdog. Mississippi State allowed 522 total yards to Texas. The Bulldogs have lost 4 straight games and have allowed at least 30 points in each loss.
Georgia blew out the Auburn Tigers 31-13 Saturday to get back in the win column after its loss to Texas. The Bulldogs failed to cover as 21-point favorites. Georgia’s defense followed the “bend-but-don’t-break” technique against Auburn, allowing 337 yards, but holding Auburn to just 1 TD and 2 FGs.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Mississippi State at Georgia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 8:49 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Off the board
- Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +33.5 (-110) | Georgia -33.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mississippi State at Georgia picks and predictions
Prediction
Georgia 37, Mississippi State 10
Moneyline
PASS.
The ML is off the board on both BetMGM and FanDuel, but even if gets posted, I recommend passing. Georgia will pick up the win here, but they will be favored far too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET MISSISSIPPI STATE +33.5 (-110).
Georgia has dropped each of its last 4 games ATS and has beaten only 1 opponent by 34 or more points — Tennessee Tech, who the Bulldogs beat 48-3. Mississippi State was able to stay within 33.5 points of a Texas team that was better than this Georgia squad in its last outing, so I expect more of the same here.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 53.5 (-110).
The Under is 4-1 in Georgia’s 5 games this year and hit in Mississippi State’s lone matchup vs. a ranked opponent this year. Georgia’s defense allows only 14.4 points per game, and while Mississippi State’s defense does allow an SEC worst 31.6 ppg, Georgia’s offense isn’t quit good enough to bet the over here.
This is a lean because the Over is 3-2 in Mississippi State’s 5 games this season.
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