The Minnesota Twins meet the Milwaukee Brewers in the opener Thursday at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He was 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 66 2/3 IP over 11 starts in 2020. Last season, Maeda went 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA in two starts against the Brewers with an opponent batting average of just .120 across 14 2/3 innings with no home runs allowed and 17 strikeouts.
RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He was 3-5 with a 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 73 2/3 IP over 13 starts in 2020. Woodruff made one start against the Twins last season, allowing two earned runs, nine hits and a walk with three strikeouts across five innings in a loss at Target Field Aug. 20.
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Twins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:01 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Twins 4, Brewers 2
Money line (ML)
The TWINS (+100) are a nice play riding the shoulders of Maeda, although this should be a low-scoring, well-pitched game inside the warmth of American Family Field and the lack of adverse weather conditions.
Minnesota won two of its three games in Milwaukee last season, outscoring the Brew Crew 20-10 in the three games. That includes a 12-2 laugher behind Maeda Aug. 12.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The TWINS -1.5 (+155) are the lean here as they hit the run line in each of their two wins at Milwaukee in 2020. I wouldn’t go crazy, especially on Opening Day, but it’s worth a small-unit bet at plus money.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the lean. Maeda didn’t give up much in the shortened season of 2020, his first with the Twins. He chopped his WHIP down to 0.75 and his K/BB ratio was at 8.0, nearly double his previous career best. He will be hard on the Milwaukee bats, and runs will be at a premium early.
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