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The Milwaukee Brewers (50-41) continue their 4-game series with the San Francisco Giants (46-43) Saturday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Giants lead 2-1
San Francisco evened this series with an 8-5 victory Friday after Milwaukee won the Thursday’s opener 3-2 in 10 innings.
San Francisco is 4-6 in the last 10 games and 13 games behind the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. Milwaukee is 6-4 in the last 10 and leads the NL Central by 2 games.
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Brewers at Giants projected starters
LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Alex Cobb
Lauer is 6-3 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 89 1/3 IP across 16 starts.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 7 K in 8-6 home loss vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
- 2021 vs. Giants: One start, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 K in no-decision of 5-1 road win Sept. 2
Cobb is 3-4 with a 4.57 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 63 IP over 13 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Monday
- 2022 home splits: 2-4, 3.62 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 2 HR, 10.1 K/9 in 8 starts
Brewers at Giants odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:07 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Giants -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-190) | Giants -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Brewers at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Giants 4
Money line
BET BREWERS (+110).
They have the fresher bullpen, an edge in the starting pitching matchup and there’s “reverse-line movement” headed toward Milwaukee in the betting market.
More than 60% of the bets placed are on the Giants (-135) according to VegasInsider.com, but San Francisco’s ML has been lowered from a -141 opener.
The Brew Crew are 5-4 – with a plus-23.9% return on investment – as road underdogs vs. right-handed starters.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Even though I’d love some insurance for our Milwaukee ML wager, the Brewers +1.5 (-190) is appropriately priced and too expensive. They are 11-4 ATS as road underdogs, while the Giants are 11-29 ATS as home favorites.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130). The price suggests the Over is the “sharper” play and both bullpens could be fatigued.
However, the betting splits and situational O/U trends don’t provide much of a clue, so I can only LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130).
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