The Milwaukee Brewers (82-52) and San Francisco Giants (84-49) cap off a four-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Eric Lauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 4-5 with a 3.61 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 82 1/3 IP over 14 starts and four relief stints.
- Has been aided by a .276 batting average on balls in play.
- Owns a 3.12 ERA over 26 second-half innings. Has averaged just 4.3 IP/start over that stretch.
RHP Logan Webb is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. In 20 games (19 starts) this season, Webb is 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 105 1/3 IP.
- Went into this season with a 5.36 ERA, 1.52 WHIP across 21 career games.
- Coming off seven shutout innings against the Atlanta Braves in his last start. Owns a 1.69 ERA, 0.99 WHIP in the second half.
- Has clocked a 1.71 ERA, 0.99 WHIP in his starts at home.
Brewers at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers +1.5 (-140) | Giants -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Prediction
Giants 5, Brewers 3
Money line (ML)
The Brewers have won the first three games of this series and four in a row overall. Milwaukee is 16-6 since Aug. 10. The Brewers own an .803 OPS over that stretch despite struggling with their bats for much of this season.
The Giants have managed just 5 runs over the first three games of this series. A top-10 offense overall, the Giants have clocked a mere .653 OPS over their last 13 games.
With some lean on San Francisco cleaning things up but in a higher scoring contest, the run line and the Over figure as the top plays in this matchup. PASS on the run line.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
San Francisco owns a mere .628 OPS over the last week. But that figure is weighed down by a .245 batting average on balls in play. The Giants make contact at an above-average clip, so that’s an especially tough BABIP to muscle through.
With an Over bet in play, TAKE SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under (O/U)
Both offenses have Statcast quality-of-contact figures that point to likely regression. But the starters’ numbers swing the other way and make for enough leverage to bring a partial-unit Over wager into play. BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-130).
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