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The Milwaukee Brewers (44-32) and San Diego Padres (40-40) meet Saturday for Game 3 of a 4-game series. First pitch from PETCO Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: San Diego leads 4-1
San Diego beat Milwaukee 9-5 Friday while covering as a -154 home favorite. The Padres broke the 5-5 tie with 3 runs in the 7th and a final in the 8th to pick up the win. The Padres have won each of their last 3 games.
Reliever Hoby Milner came away with the loss for Milwaukee as he recorded 1 out but allowed 2 ER and 2 H with 0 K. The Brewers have lost back-to-back games.
Brewers at Padres projected starters
RHP Carlos Rodriguez vs. RHP Randy Vasquez
Rodriguez (0-2, 6.48 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.92 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 8 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 5-3 loss against the Angels Monday
- First career start vs. San Diego
Vasquez (1-4, 5.70 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 42 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 12 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 9-2 loss in Philadelphia Monday
- First career start vs. Milwaukee
- Home/road splits: 0-2, 4.43 ERA, 1.48 WHIP in 4 home starts vs. 1-2, 6.85 ERA, 1.88 WHIP in 5 road starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Brewers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Padres +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 8, Brewers 5
Moneyline
LEAN PADRES (-115).
San Diego has won 3 straight while the Brewers have lost back-to-back. The Padres are also 5-0 in their last 5 home games while Milwaukee is only 2-3 in its last 5 on the road.
This is a lean because both Milwaukee and San Diego are 5-5 in their last 10 overall and in their last 10 matchups against one another.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I fully expect the Padres to cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but the line is far too risky to bet on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-105).
The Over has hit in each of San Diego’s last 3 home games. The Over has also hit in back-to-back Milwaukee-San Diego matchups and is 8-2 in the last 10 matchups overall.
Be aware that the Under is 5-3-2 in Milwaukee’s last 10 overall.
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