The Milwaukee Brewers (17-13) and Philadelphia Phillies (15-15) play the third contest of their four-game series at Citizens Bank Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. Peralta is is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 14.5 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 through 28 IP spanning 5 starts and 1 relief appearance.
The Milwaukee right-hander has been getting by with a .229 batting average on balls in play, but he has also done well to limit hard contact.
RHP Chase Anderson is the projected starter for the Phillies. He is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 through 21 2/3 IP over 5 starts.
Anderson relies on a change-up and is tough on lefty batters (.688 career OPS allowed); the Brewers bat more from that side than most teams.
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Brewers at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+115) | Phillies +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Brewers 4, Phillies 3
Money line (ML)
The Phillies took the first two games of this series, both in one-run fashion. Both offenses are bottom-10 units through the first month of the season but peg the Brewers as having the better starter Wednesday.
BACK THE BREWERS (-145) on a slight-to-moderate lean.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
STEER CLEAR of trying Milwaukee at the run line prop price. The game has a significant Under lean, and Philadelphia’s bullpen is underrated.
Over/Under (O/U)
TAKE THE UNDER 7.5 (-105).
The Philly ‘pen figures as homer-unlucky to date, and analytic ERA measures are about a run kinder than the 5.13 surface ERA being sported by the home team’s relief corps.
Both offenses are swung around to their lesser platoon splits against a right-handed starter, and a double-digit mph breeze in from left-center is in the forecast.
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