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The Miami Marlins (79-75) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (88-66) to loanDepot park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 4-1
The Brewers beat the Marlins to open the series Friday 16-1, scoring a bizarre 12 runs in the second inning. Milwaukee closed as a -142 favorite in the series opener. It has won 4 straight games and is 7-2 over its last 9. The Brewers sit atop the NL Central.
The Marlins rank 3rd in the NL East and are 44-35 at home this season. They are 5-5 over their last 10 games. Miami lost 2 of 3 to the New York Mets after sweeping the Atlanta Braves.
Brewers at Marlins projected starters
RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo
Woodruff (5-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 62 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 2-1 extra innings home loss to the Washington Nationals Sunday
- 2023 road stats: 2-0, 2.64 ERA in 30 2/3 IP over 5 starts
Luzardo (10-9, 3.68 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 166 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 16-2 home win over the Braves Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 5-4, 2.96 ERA in 103 1/3 IP over 18 starts
Brewers at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+145) | Marlins +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
BET BREWERS (-125).
The Brewers are rolling, and they are 48-39 this season following a win. They have won 4 in a row and scored at least 6 in each of those games. With Woodruff on the mound, expect another strong performance from Milwaukee.
Miami is 39-49 as an underdog this season and 15-15 as a home underdog. Milwaukee is 16-13 as a road favorite. The value here mixed with the differences in the pitching makes BREWERS (-125) a good play.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The value just isn’t here. Luzardo has been good enough that he should be able to hold up, but at +1.5 (-175), the Marlins aren’t worth the run-line value after losing by 15 Friday.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7 (-105).
Milwaukee has been a powerhouse at the plate over its last 5 games, scoring 37 runs over its last 4 games. It has gone Over in 2 of Woodruff’s last 3 starts this season.
Miami has gone Over in 5 of its last 6 games with a total this season. It has gone Over in Luzardo’s last 3 starts as well. Expect another exciting game and take OVER 7 (-105).
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