The Milwaukee Brewers (51-42) and Cincinnati Reds (50-43) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 12:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 7-2
Milwaukee won 3-0 as +111 road underdogs on Saturday with all 3 of the Brewers’ runs on solo home runs from DH Christian Yelich, C William Contreras, and 1B Owen Miller. SP Freddy Peralta pitched 6 scoreless innings with 6 K’s.
The Brewers have now won 3-straight and are 8-3 in their last 11 game to take a 1-game lead on the Reds in th NL Central. Cincinnati has lost 3 straight, but still is 6-4 in their last 10 games. Milwaukee is 25-21 on the road while the Reds are 23-23 at home.
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Brewers at Reds projected starters
RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Ben Lively
Houser (3-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 4-3 home loss July 5 vs. the Chicago Cubs
- Career vs. Cincinnati: 5-4, 4.90 ERA (68 IP, 37 ER), 69 H, 49 K, 1.44 WHIP in 16 appearances (13 starts)
Lively (4-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 9th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 1-0 road loss Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Career vs. Milwaukee: 0-2, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
Brewers at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 7, Reds 2
Moneyline
BET BREWERS (+110).
The Brewers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall and 4-1 in the last 5 game againstbthe Reds. They are also the hotter team winning 5 of their last 6 while the Reds have lost4 of the last 5. Milwaukee is also 3-0 in Houser’s last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati while Lively has yet to beat Milwaukee in his career.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Brewers should cover here at +1.5 (-165) as I expect them to come away with the win, but the line is simply not worth the juice especially when each of the other 2 plays are safer. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 10.5 (-105).
The Under is 3-0 in the last 3 matchups and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Houser’s last 5 starts overall and 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati. The Under is 2-0 in each of Lively’s 2 career starts vs. Milwaukee as well.
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