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The Cincinnati Reds (5-4) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (6-2) to Great American Ball Park Monday. First pitch to kick off the 4-game series is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 10-3 last season
The Reds lost to the New York Mets 3-1 at home Sunday, marking their 1st series loss this season. They lost 2 of 3 outright against the Mets and are 3-3 straight up at home. Cincinnati is 4-5 against the spread (ATS) this season.
The Brewers beat the Seattle Mariners 12-4 to close their home series Sunday, winning 2 of 3. Milwaukee is 3-0 straight up and ATS on the road, having swept the Mets in 3 straight to start the season.
Brewers at Reds projected starters
LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft
Ashby (2-10, 4.44 ERA) made 27 starts in 2022, not taking the mound in 2023. He had a 1.42 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.
- 2022 road splits: 1-7, 5.03 ERA (68 IP, 38 ER), 76 H, 33 BB, 82 K in 12 starts and 5 relief appearances
- Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-1, 5.19 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 7 BB, 8 K in 1 start and 2 relief appearances
Ashcraft (0-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 R (2 ER) on 4 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 6 IP in his debut at the Philadephia Phillies Tuesday.
- 2023 home splits: 3-8, 5.60 ERA (82 IP, 51 ER), 83 H, 29 BB, 58 K in 15 starts
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Brewers at Reds odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Reds -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-182)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -114 | U: -106)
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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Brewers 4
Moneyline
BET REDS (-108).
Given Ashby hasn’t pitched in over a year, it is difficult to trust him on the road against a Reds offense that has scored at least 6 runs in 4 of 9 games this season, with 3 of those 4 times coming at Great American.
While Ashcraft wasn’t stellar in his lone start, the bullpen is what let Cincinnati down. The Reds have been better also of late, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games.
The Reds should have the pitching advantage, and that will matter, as both offenses have been strong to start the season. Take REDS (-108).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There isn’t any value on the spread. The Reds are too expensive as run-line underdogs, while the Brewers don’t have much value as plus-money run-line favorites.
Regardless of who one likes, play the moneyline here.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-114).
Both teams have dynamic offenses and don’t have their aces on the mound. The Brewers have scored at least 6 in 2 of their last 3 and have gone Over in 3 of their last 4. Milwaukee is 4-4 O/U on the season.
The Reds are 6-3 O/U and are 4-2 O/U at home. They have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of 6 home games while allowing at least 5 in 3 of those 6. Expect a high-scoring game, and take OVER 9 (-114).
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