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The Miami Marlins (29-52) and Philadelphia Phillies (53-28) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:20 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Marlins won the series opener 7-4 Thursday as 3B Jake Burger broke a 4-4 tie in the 8th inning with a solo home run. LF Bryan De La Cruz also had a bases clearing double and scored on 1B Josh Bell‘s double. LHP Tanner Scott pitched a perfect 9th inning to earn his 11th save.
The 7-4 loss to the Miami Marlins was the least of Philadelphia’s concerns because 1B Bryce Harper limped off the field after making the final out and LF Kyle Schwarber left the game earlier in the 9th inning with left groin tightness. DH Trea Turner went 2-for-4 with 3 runs scored and C Rafael Marchen had a solo HR. Despite the loss, the Phillies are 31-13 at home.
Marlins at Phillies projected starters
RHP Kyle Tyler vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Tyler (0-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 3rd appearance and 2nd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 6 IP.
- Only start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 6-4 win against the Seattle Mariners Sunday
- Called up from Triple-A Jacksonville on June 22
- Has pitched in 9 career MLB games in 3 seasons
Sanchez (5-3, 2.67 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 4-1 victory against the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
- Only start vs Marlins: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 home loss on Sept 8, 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Marlins at Phillies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -245 (bet $245 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-102) | Phillies -1.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Marlins 2
Moneyline.
PASS.
The Phillies (-245) will bounce back in a big way on Friday night but I’m not going to pay almost 2 1/2 units. I’ll put my money down on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-118).
If you want an easy winner, whenever you see the Marlins face a lefty, put your money down on their opponent. Miami is 4-24 against southpaws and have an under .600 OPS for the season. They are also 6-17 against their NL East division rivals. Six of their last 7 losses have been by 2 or more runs. In fact, 5 of their last 7 losses have been by more than 3 runs which brings the alternative run line of Philadelphia -2.5 (+138) into play.
Over/Under
PASS.
I don’t love the trends toward this bet. I’m going to stay away because they are 5-4-1 against the Over in their last 10 meetings.
Also, in the last 10 games Miami is 5-5 against the Over and the Phillies are 4-6.
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